The Jubilee alliance presidential ticket of Uhuru Kenyatta and William Ruto has taken the lead past their rivals, the Raila Odinga and Kalonzo Musyoka presidential ticket, according to the latest opinion poll.
The survey, released Feb 22 by Ipsos Synovate, shows Uhuru/Ruto's ratings have risen to 44.8 per cent, beating Raila/Kalonzo's 44.4 per cent. The rise is due to a slight drop in undecided voters from five per cent earlier in the week to about two per cent. Synovate polled 5,971 people who claimed to be registered voters between February 15 and 19.
The difference between the two pairings is within the statistical margin of error for the survey (1.27 percentage points), so pollsters stress they remain neck and neck. An earlier Ipsos Synovate poll, which questioned 2,500 respondents on February 13 through to February 15, showed Uhuru and Raila tied at 43 per cent. The margin of error was plus or minus 1.96 points.
Amani coalition's Musalia Mudavadi is at 5.2 per cent, Eagle Coalition's Peter Kenneth at 1.6 per cent and Narc-Kenya's Martha Karua at 0.8 per cent. None of the other presidential candidates -- ARK's Abduba Dida, Safina's Paul Muite and RBK's James ole Kiyiapi -- make a significant showing in the poll.
A presidential candidate requires more than 50 per cent of the vote to win in the first round on March 4, failing which the top two candidates go head to head in a second round on April 11.
Source: Standard Digital